The Overall Risk is calculated by the system by:
- Checking the percentage: Finding where the source value fits within the metric banding
- Calculating the weighted banding: Multiply percentage by metric weighting
- Adding all weighted metrics
- Count the total weighted metric
To get the result:
Divide the total weighted banding by the total weight.
Weightings:
This is the weighting value each metric has in the overall calculation:
- No impact 0
- Low 1
- Medium 2
- High 4
Example:
Metric | Metric Value | Banding (Weighting) | Calculation |
Weeks since any Activity | 5 weeks | High | 4 * 80% (Risk Value for the metric ) = 320 |
Weeks since journal logged | 5 Weeks | High | 4 * 80% (Risk Value) = 320
|
Weeks since last logged in to EP | 5 Weeks | High | 4 * 80% (Risk Value) =320
|
Number of tasks completed beyond target date | 0 | Low | 1 * 9% (risk value for metric ) = 9 |
Total Weighted banding -= 969 divide by total weighting (13) Risk Value – 75% At Risk | |||
Information
The predictive risk score differs from the defined risk metric as it is generated using historical OneFile data. This score is based on patterns in learner behavior and their correlation with dropout rates. Predictive risk is calculated using a weighted scoring system, where different factors contribute varying levels of influence depending on the learner’s current stage in their journey. This dynamic approach ensures that risk assessments adapt to real-time data, providing more accurate and proactive insights into potential dropouts.